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African Forecasts for Humanitarians in 2017

Developments in travel, accommodation, and security

In an ever-changing world, it is important for humanitarian travel managers to keep up with the latest developments. The way compassionate humanitarians live, travel and manage security, are continuously changing, day by day. That is why Travel consultancy Advito has put together African Forecasts for this year.

African Forecasts for Humanitarians in 2017

The forecasted picture in Africa is mixed. The north of the continent is afflicted by insecurity and political instability, and this will likely not change in the short term. In the oil-producing sub-Saharan countries, like Nigeria and Angola, the economic growth has slowed down. However, much of the rest of Africa has experienced a solid continuous growth. This means travel demand in most countries is firmly on the rise.

Africa’s route network will remain small and fragmented in 2017, in spite of some recent capacity growth. Public transport has limited schedules and connections. Therefore, fares will stay high, especially for business class travel. The low oil prices mean, however, that fares will not increase by a huge margin. Advito expects economy fare rates for intercontinental routes not to change more than one percent either way. Regional fares will remain the same.

An everlasting concern for travel managers is the security in Africa. Luxury hotels where Western travelers tend to stay or meet are at risk of being targeted by terrorist groups. After several attacks in the past year, travel managers familiar with the region are responding by moving humanitarians to alternative accommodations, like Airbnb. The service has 44,000 properties in Africa and is regarded as a safer option than hotels. When negotiating with global hotel chains in Africa as a travel manager, guest safety should be a priority. In many countries, hotels need security clearance following rigorous inspections.

Along with security, high prices will be an important reason why travelers in Africa are turning to the aforementioned Airbnb as an alternative. Hotel rates could rise by a maximum of two percent. Many cities in sub-Saharan countries will be expensive, because of the imbalance between supply and demand.

Uber has rapidly grown its African footprint and now has operations in eight countries; Egypt, Ghana, Kenya, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa, Uganda, and Tanzania. Uber is not the only company to have discovered and tapped into this potential. Taxify, Afro, Oga Taxi, Maramoja and Mondo Ride are among the local competition trying to ensure that Uber does not have all its own way in Africa. The smaller companies try to compete by offering drivers better compensation and enticing customers with a more local touch.

Curious for more information on trends in traveling, accommodation or security risks? Do not hesitate to contact us. We are glad to provide the necessary assistance from any of our 17 offices around the world. Contact a local Raptim office through our quick address locator in case you have any questions.